Military experts are continuously monitoring signs of Russian preparations for a potential new strike against Ukraine. However, this does not guarantee that an attack will occur.
In a comment to the YouTube channel RBK-Ukraine, military expert and reserve major of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Alexey Hetman, shared his insights.
"You know, when there are signs of something, it doesn't mean that it has to happen. When we say 'there are all signs of an air attack from the Russians' and those attacks do not occur, some begin to say, 'see, your prediction didn’t come true.' Therefore, I want to emphasize that there are indeed signs, 100% indicators that preparations for air attacks are underway. But that does not mean they will definitely take place," Hetman stated.
According to him, Russia typically requires about a month between attacks to develop the necessary number of missiles for a mass strike. This means that if there are no air attacks for two months, the occupiers may launch more missiles or conduct two attacks with a few days' interval.
"Thus, they usually cannot execute this any faster than a month because there would be a limited number of munitions, and the attack would lose its significance. Therefore, when a month has passed since the last attack, one can expect that an attack could happen any day, or it might not. However, another one will certainly occur in a month or two," Hetman emphasized.
Since the beginning of last autumn, the Russian army has increased the frequency of large-scale shelling across Ukraine. The primary target for the Russians continues to be Ukraine's critical infrastructure.
In particular, a massive strike was carried out on December 13. At that time, Russia launched 287 air assault assets against Ukraine - 94 missiles and 193 drones. By December 25, the Russian occupiers had already carried out 13 mass strikes on Ukrainian energy facilities since the beginning of the year.
The last time Russia launched missiles at Ukraine was just before the New Year, but the Russians continue to carry out drone strikes.
On the night of January 13, the Russian Federation used 110 strike drones of the Shahed type and imitation drones against Ukraine. The air defense managed to destroy 78 of them.